Electoral predictions. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.

Electoral predictions Updated twice daily, this is an electoral map projection based on The Economist's US presidential election forecast. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page. 251 287 270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win Pre-Fill Map: No Toss Ups RCP Ratings 2020 Map 2020 Map % Shift 2016 Map 2016 Map % Shift Your Map View Full State Change Page » We’ve partnered with 270towin to provide an interactive map so you can do your own electoral math. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2028 election forecast. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters. Interactive model providing real-time projections and insights into UK election outcomes based on current data. 538 ranks current polls by accuracy and gives more weight to polls deemed more reliable and adds its own proprietary analysis that introduces geographic and demographic to suggest particular Nov 4, 2024 · View the latest 2024 Biden Trump House forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map. Presidential Election approaching, attention turns to the Electoral College map, which will ultimately decide the next President. One of the nation's most accurate forecasters in 2020. The Community Projection map shows the average of the predictions that U. The day before It will take at least 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. 2 percent. Senate, governors, and U. It looks like a normal electoral map, except it is not historical, not scientific, and should be regarded as for entertainment purposes only. The Electoral College consists of 538 total votes, and a candidate needs at least 270 votes to secure a win. 4 percent chance of winning the Electoral College to Harris's 49. As a rule, when the electoral vote estimate is steady in the presence of new results, our forecast is more trustworthy. They’ll be waiting to see who wins, something CNN will determine with a series of projections. S. Nov 13, 2025 · Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball is a free, nonpartisan weekly online political newsletter and website in the United States that analyzes current American politics and predicts electoral outcomes for U. Nov 3, 2024 · Two of the biggest election prognosticators disagree over who will win the 2024 presidential race. Here's how to follow live results of the electoral college. Our House Forecast projects the chance both parties have of winning the majority. Use the buttons above Dive into the most comprehensive collection of polls across the nation, forecast the presidency, House, and Senate outcomes, and explore detailed results for every primary and general election as soon as each race is called. Updated Daily. You can change the seven swing states, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina Nov 3, 2024 · Then, Remi factors in the electoral college framework to predict an overall election winner. Nov 5, 2024 · 538's final forecasts for the 2024 election for president between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, plus the Senate and House. Use the buttons above the map to see what has changed. Every day, it runs 20,000 simulations of the election. Aug 26, 2024 · Each state (except Nebraska, which divides its electors) is a winner-take-all contest for the total number of electoral votes assigned to that state. Click or tap a state on the U. Real-Time Updates: The model continuously updates its predictions as new data becomes available. Purchase Data 2024 Data Sets Now Available for Pre-Purchase Follow Updates Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream Atlas Weblog Election Tools 2024 Electoral College Calculator 2024 Republican Primary Timeline Results Apr 23, 2024 · NPR's electoral map organizes states into seven categories – Toss Up, Lean Republican, Lean Democratic, Likely Republican, Likely Democratic, Safe Republican and Safe Democratic. It uses data-driven projections to predict the outcome of all 435 races. Nov 5, 2024 · Polls have shown the presidential race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is close. Predictions for the 2024 Presidential Election Forecast and Graphics Designed by: Logan Phillips This is the final Presidential Forecast before the election. 538 Forecast: 2024 Presidential Election This is an electoral map projection derived from the 2024 Election Forecast from 538. It takes at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. " Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. In 2024, Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris could have won the Electoral College by winning the states she carried, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District (Nebraska allocates some electoral votes by district), plus the so-called Blue Wall Nov 4, 2024 · Only one more day until Tuesday's Election Day. There’s nothing stopping you or anyone else from making unrealistic or ridiculous predictions. Oct 23, 2024 · Vice President Harris and former President Donald Trump appear locked in a tight race for the presidency, according to polls. 270 users have posted. 1 The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the Nov 9, 2024 · It will take at least 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Nov 9, 2024 · It will take at least 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2024 presidential race, see how states are expected to Nov 4, 2024 · View the latest 2024 Biden Trump Presidential forecast predictions and create your own 2024 election prediction map. Still, the differences between a 2020 and Nov 5, 2024 · It is Election Day! And it is still a tight race between Harris and Trump. Nov 3, 2024 · Here’s how the final hours of the 2024 campaigns played out, including the final polls, pundit predictions, early vote analysis, and what Donald Trump and Kamala Harris said at their final rallies. Presidential Election Prediction: A State-by-State Breakdown With the 2024 U. A 2020 presidential election map based on the consensus of the most respected forecasts and polling. The latest polls for the 2024 Presidential Election. Oct 31, 2024 · Who is going to win the 2024 presidential election? It depends on which leading predictor you ask. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. Use the buttons above 2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. Selzer’s poll and some recent New York Times polls informed my map. Nov 2, 2024 · U. 3% of House Races correctly. Despite some recent controversy, election “nostradamus” Allan Lichtman, who has predicted 9 out of the last 10 elections, has predicted a Kamala Harris win. This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. Updated daily, includes state and national polls for Harris against Trump. Curious who is currently predicted to win? Here's what various national polls are saying Nov 5, 2024 · Explore possible outcomes in the battleground states to see how Harris or Trump could reach 270 electoral votes and the White House. 2024 Electoral College Map RCP Electoral Map State Changes No Toss Ups Map State Changes RCP Senate Map Race Changes Senate No Toss Ups Race Changes RCP House Map Race Changes RCP Governor Map Race Changes 4 days ago · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. Nov 5, 2024 · Expect to see a piece about why I believe the winner of the election secured the necessary 270 electoral votes to win. Who's model is more accurate? Nov 5, 2024 · Millions of Americans will be tuning in to CNN and other networks on election night as returns roll in. Interactive Dashboard. Nov 5, 2024 · These charts show how our forecast has changed over the course of the night. map, or adjust the toggle buttons below the map to make a pick. 4 days ago · The 2024 Harris vs. Nov 5, 2024 · Let’s cut to the chase: So, who’s gonna win the election? Well, honestly, we don’t know — but we can give you our best probabilistic guess. Nov 5, 2024 · Consider that Republicans won the House popular vote in states worth more than 270 electoral votes in 2022, even as Democrats won the key Senate races. Where no polling is available, the Biden-Trump average is used. Election Predictions for the Presidential, Senate, and House elections. The map 2024 President: Consensus Electoral Map This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. 4 days ago · An interactive electoral map derived from FiveThirtyEight's probabilistic model for the 2020 presidential election. Jul 3, 2024 · Predict the UK general election result Use our model to estimate the result in every constituency using the latest polls or what you think the result will be Nov 4, 2024 · Three members of the HPR’s 56th Masthead took Harvard’s election analytics course. In 2022, our forecast called 96. It will take at least 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Only seats rated safe by a large majority of forecasters are shown in the darkest shade of red or blue. As a result of Census apportionment, some states have a different number of electoral votes in 2024. We came just one seat short of Dec 20, 2024 · These big apportionment changes would also significantly change political parties’ Electoral College math starting with the 2032 election. Nov 4, 2024 · Electoral College Map Forecast: Three Different Projections Based on Polls Published Nov 03, 2024 at 04:30 AM EST updated Nov 05, 2024 at 11:41 PM EST Oct 30, 2024 · Donald Trump could lose the presidential election to Kamala Harris by a single state, according to AI analysis of the likely outcome. . S House of Representatives, U. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 4 days ago · It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2028 presidential election. Use the timeline feature to view the map based on the final update each day. Nov 5, 2024 · The projection predicts Trump will secure 276 Electoral College votes, while Harris will get 262. It is current as of the map timestamp. Presidential candidates need 270 electoral votes to win an election. Our prediction model calculates Kamala Harris’s and Donald Trump’s probabilities of winning each individual state and the election overall Nov 4, 2024 · An economic forecaster, called "the world's most accurate economist," Christophe Barraud predicts Donald Trump to win the 2024 presidential election. The ABC News 2024 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2024 Presidential Election. Here are their predictions for the 2024 Presidential Election. The election will likely come down to just a handful of votes in a This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below. One of the Most Accurate Election Forecasters in 2020 and 2022. Click on the states to make your own forecast. Dec 16, 2024 · Using voter election data from previous American presidential elections to project the party winner of the upcomign 2028 campaign. Based on current data, let’s take a closer look at the electoral This figure was calculated by adding up the Electoral College votes from each state based on Decision Desk HQ projections. Oct 8, 2024 · The current 2024 electoral college outlook from CNN: "The 2024 presidential electoral battleground map has proved to be remarkably stable over the past two months after the race was reshaped with Vice President Kamala Harris’ elevation to the top of the Democratic ticket. Nov 5, 2024 · It comes after Silver's Monday forecast showed that Trump was the favorite to win the election, with a 50. Nov 4, 2024 · This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The 3 days ago · A new NPR/PBS News/Marist poll shows some major warning signs for President Trump and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterm elections as Americans want the president to focus on lowering prices. president races. Take a look at Election Day polls, betting odds, predictions and everything else you need to know. Trump electoral map based on public opinion polling. Nov 5, 2024 · Polling guru Nate Silver has revealed his final prediction model for the 2024 presidential election – and has concluded the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is “literally closer Oct 31, 2024 · Kamala Harris and Donald Trump could both theoretically win over 400 Electoral College votes, according to simulations from top forecaster FiveThirtyEight, amid what polling shows to be one of the House 2024 Forecast & Predictions This is the final House Forecast before the election. Nov 4, 2024 · A look at the latest forecasts for Democrats and Republicans, based on combined ratings from three nonpartisan political analysts. October 8: NE-02 Toss Track global election predictions and odds from around the world on Polymarket. The RacetotheWH Presidential Forecast predicts the winner for every state in the nation, after taking into account the latest polling, each state’s recent electoral history, and national economic trends over the last two years. xos cykgnm iyy upm cip cqmrhvq eqmrg xzhcs lhgldp sti plqez marc tmakz ibfbwt qyeb